There are two possibilities for the parliamentary elections that the government has indicated will be held in less than a year's time, observes the International Crisis Group (ICG) in a new report. One is that a negotiated inter-party settlement or greatly intensified international pressure - or both - will produce the conditions for a free and fair electoral process. The other is that the ruling party will continue to stall on talks, rig the electoral process, increase state violence, and win a non-credible vote. "If the latter happens, Zimbabwe will probably be at the point of no return," says the ICG.