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Analysts warned on Friday of a "slow and steady" descent into lawlessness if the political deadlock in Madagascar was not broken soon.

U N I T E D N A T I O N S
Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)
Integrated Regional Information Network (IRIN)

MADAGASCAR: Analysts warn of descent into lawlessness

JOHANNESBURG, 12 April (IRIN) - Analysts warned on Friday of a "slow and
steady" descent into lawlessness if the political deadlock in Madagascar was
not broken soon.

In the latest violence, a Roman Catholic missionary was killed on Friday in
political clashes in Fianarantsoa, AFP reported. The death of the missionary
came as supporters of self-declared president, Marc Ravalomanana, tried to
storm the governor's residence, the report said.

The fighting in Fianarantsoa, 300km south of the capital Antananarivo, had
earlier left two soldiers and a child injured, according to news reports.
Civil rights groups believe about 30 people have died since the electoral
dispute turned violent.

Until recently the conflict was relatively peaceful, but the conflict
between Ravalomanana and incumbent President Didier Ratsiraka has escalated
as the political stalemate drags on.

"The two leaders have become increasingly belligerent, which could be the
reason for people taking the law into their own hands. Supporters on both
sides are becoming increasingly frustrated as every diplomatic attempt to
resolve the leadership crisis has effectively failed," regional political
analyst Michel Davies, of the Africa/Asia Foundation, told IRIN on Friday.

Ravalomanana insists he won last December's election outright, but official
results showed that neither he nor Ratsiraka gained more than 50 percent of
the vote. While Ravalomanana retains considerable support in Antananarivo,
Ratsiraka has consolidated his power in the five provinces. A scheduled
run-off election never materialised because Ravalomanana refused to return
to the polls.

More details:
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=27191
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=27156
[ENDS]

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