"In our view, the United States and the broader international community should make every effort to raise the odds that Zimbabwe's crisis can be resolved peacefully through free and fair elections. At the same time, however, there is a need for realism: Mugabe is highly unlikely to concede power through a relatively free and fair electoral process, and highly likely to resort to ever-higher levels of violence. Though a concerted international campaign is warranted to turn Mugabe off this course and onto a path that bring free and fair elections, we need to admit to ourselves that there is a high probability that effort may fail."