Empirical Evidence for the Demographic and Socio-Economic Impact of AIDS
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Notice of a Scientific Meeting
26 - 28 March, 2003
Durban, South Africa

Organisers
HEARD, University of Natal (Alan Whiteside & Timothy Quinlan)
Center for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical
Medicine (Basia Zaba)
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina (Ties
Boerma)
National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca (Stefano Bertozzi)

Sponsored by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and Wellcome
Trust

This conference stems from the need for HIV/AIDS interventions to be
based on sound information about the medium and long-term demo-
graphic, social and economic consequences of HIV/AIDS. Towards that
end, the organisers have invited 50 researchers to present papers de-
rived from rigorous empirical research. The conference offers a
unique opportunity for an additional 50 participants to hear what is
actually known about the socio-economic and demographic impacts of
HIV/AIDS, to compare evidence from different countries and to ex-
change ideas on research and management strategies.

Target Participants

The conference will be of interest to demographers, economists, plan-
ners and social and medical scientists; AIDS programme managers; do-
nor agencies; NGO programme managers; and government officials.

Conference Venue

The conference will take place at the Tropicana Hotel situated on
Durban's Beachfront. All presenters, discussants and participants
will be accommodated at the Tropicana Hotel for the duration of the
workshop. Details on the venue can be viewed on the website at:
http://www.goodersonleisure.com/

Should you wish to arrive early or extend your stay, you may arrange
alternative bookings with the Tropicana Hotel via their website as
listed above.

Conference Content
Theme 1: Demographic impacts
Adult mortality - evidence from national & regional statistics
* Mortality impacts based on evidence from recent African Censuses
(Africa)
* Mortality estimates based on sibling survival and orphanhood data
(South Africa)
* Vital registration data contribution of HIV to mortality trends
(Thailand; Caribbean)
* Age patterns and leading causes of death from verbal autopsy data
(Tanzania)
* Deaths from AIDS and HIV attributable mortality from mortuary stud-
ies (Africa)

Adult mortality - evidence from studies with HIV serology
* Survival since infection and relation to background mortality
(Uganda)
* Changing HIV+ mortality rates (Zambia)
* Age patterns and trends in HIV+/HIV- mortality rate ratios (South
Africa)
* Use of data from mortuary studies (Ethiopia)

Child mortality - trends and explanations
* Impact of vertical transmission and orphanhood on child mortality
(Uganda)
* Child survival after infection in pregnancy or breastfeeding (South
Africa)
* Survival of infected and uninfected children of HIV positive moth-
ers (Uganda)

Fertility effects of HIV
* Population attributable changes in fertility (Zimbabwe)
* Progressive fertility reduction in HIV positive women (Kenya)
* The effect of pregnancy on HIV progression (Uganda)

Family and household structure
* Orphanhood: maternal, paternal & double orphans (Zimbabwe)
* Orphanhood and HIV infection (Uganda)
* Changes in family structure, household headship, size and structure
(Malawi; South Africa)

Theme 2 - Socio-economic impacts
Impacts on family welfare
* Impact of adult morbidity and mortality on household assets and in-
come (Zimbabwe; South Africa; Mexico; Indonesia)
* Long term changes in family welfare related to HIV (Thailand;
Kenya)
* Orphan welfare (Botswana)

Impacts on public sector
* Health services (Kenya; South Africa)
* Education services (Mozambique; South Africa; Tanzania)
* Public sector financing (South Africa)

Impacts on Private sector
* Institutional auditing (Botswana)
* Private sector investment in HIV/AIDS management (Botswana; South
Africa; West Africa)

Cost of attendance

The conference fee includes full board and accommodation for 4
nights, airport transfers, and materials.

The cost of the conference is ZAR 3,500 or US$ 350.

Should you wish to live out, i.e. you reside in Durban or you wish to
find alternative accommodation, the conference fee is ZAR 1,500 or
US$ 150. However, the onus rests with the participant to arrange
his/her own transport to the conference venue.

Please note that travel to/from Durban (including expenses),
travel/local insurance, visa charges, and other incidental expenses
will be the responsibility of the participant.

Other Information

A maximum of 50 places are available. The closing date for applica-
tions is 3rd March 2003.

To apply, or for further information contact
HEARD, University of Natal
Tel: +27-31-260-1476 or 260-2592
Fax: +27-31-260-2587
mailto:[email protected]

Please note that we will be operating on a first come, first served
basis. Payment of the conference fee will guarantee a place.